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Small swings, high drama: why UK polls are less volatile than they seem – in charts

23.03.2026 09:00 | The Guardian World

In what is beginning to look like a fragmented five-party system, small swings carry outsized political consequencesCabinet reshuffles, party infighting, policy reversals, byelections, defections and apparently huge swings in support – the UK’s political news cycle feels especially relentless at the moment.But if you look closely at the polls since last year’s local elections, remarkably little has changed. Continue reading...

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