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Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts

23.03.2026 21:57 | The Guardian World

New online accounts on Polymarket platform betting a total of $70,000 suggest ‘some degree of inside info’Several accounts on the online platform Polymarket laid bets on a US-Iran ceasefire over the weekend that appeared to show signs of insider knowledge, according to experts.Eight accounts, all newly created around 21 March, bet a total of nearly $70,000 (£52,000) on there being a ceasefire. They stand to make nearly $820,000 if a such a deal is reached before 31 March. Continue reading...

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