Folosim cookie-uri pentru a îmbunătăți experiența pe site. Pentru detalii, citește Politica de confidențialitate.

One Nation’s rise puts the next election in ‘unknown territory’ – but does Pauline Hanson really have a path to government?

12.07.2026 18:00 | The Guardian World

Data shows the rightwing party faces an obstacle in the form of urban seats – and the effect of preference flows is harder to predictGet our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcastOne Nation’s spectacular rise from a distant 6% of the vote in the last election to first or second in some recent polls has upended Australian politics. It has also made it a lot harder to predict what exactly will happen at the next election.Traditionally, pollsters and election experts would look at how preferences flowed in previous elections when estimating two-party preferred numbers, or translating polling into seat projections. This was fairly predictable when almost every seat would come down to a contest between Labor and the Coalition. Continue reading...

🔗 Citește articolul complet pe The Guardian World